Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1989.958649 2163.715624 2339.591697 2530.645923 2732.035354 2937.723050 3163.382688
2025-06-01 1715.082490 1975.640260 2249.333062 2557.054634 2892.202083 3245.007595 3643.314657
2025-06-08 1510.135221 1818.720589 2152.104574 2536.563863 2965.217700 3426.090994 3956.678087
2025-06-15 1400.242480 1749.228369 2134.963618 2588.836823 3104.190139 3667.286343 4325.143790
2025-06-22 1286.223905 1662.904579 2088.158154 2597.775780 3185.931556 3837.765768 4609.068184
2025-06-29 1181.484602 1578.238589 2035.175511 2592.118630 3244.507379 3976.814690 4853.207614
2025-07-06 1054.266964 1457.789365 1932.312269 2520.845945 3220.674422 4016.309882 4979.200636
2025-07-13 1022.638736 1450.648536 1961.715114 2603.583308 3375.041443 4260.020524 5339.424622
2025-07-20 974.153708 1418.874449 1958.281285 2644.412185 3477.951582 4442.700656 5628.472113
2025-07-27 915.664289 1370.667390 1931.492473 2654.112673 3541.450489 4577.582740 5860.759378
2025-08-03 856.100720 1317.513385 1895.497466 2649.788868 3585.806947 4688.202166 6063.428637
2025-08-10 810.391302 1279.872417 1876.825298 2665.012231 3652.441224 4824.373364 6295.870896
2025-08-17 753.319353 1224.898907 1834.606734 2650.039549 3682.245222 4917.552687 6479.470279
2025-08-24 717.332178 1196.850650 1825.965722 2676.768099 3763.362492 5072.994507 6738.667351
2025-08-31 665.445514 1143.740071 1781.822437 2655.640013 3782.751976 5151.900366 6904.585426
2025-09-07 645.791548 1135.074504 1796.017784 2709.562710 3896.502099 5346.554010 7211.511864
2025-09-14 611.285409 1103.058374 1777.110873 2718.782742 3952.470406 5469.415708 7430.759175
2025-09-21 573.907747 1064.782480 1747.942619 2712.947749 3988.017376 5566.208503 7617.704555
2025-09-28 516.599485 993.446836 1670.141391 2639.423610 3933.821069 5549.047932 7662.569347
2025-10-05 514.095216 1005.671667 1709.721210 2724.772711 4086.979585 5793.214620 8032.570387
2025-10-12 498.262693 996.253560 1717.891649 2766.880518 4183.346575 5965.874659 8314.162638
2025-10-19 473.651759 971.678750 1703.283612 2776.883925 4236.867009 6083.988818 8527.759134
2025-10-26 446.307044 941.240401 1678.964449 2772.425144 4270.464566 6176.291916 8708.885237